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Traders

6878fa50835483

0x2163fe117ce669dae4aee7150c436a8d547ab139

Realised P&L
$-131.56
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$29.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves · Miami Marlins0.4700.465$29.68$0.32
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.1140.001$0.02$4.98
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) · Minnesota Twins0.6800.000$0.00$5.00
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants0.4300.000$0.00$34.00
Zug: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dylan Dietrich · Max Alcala Gurri0.4280.000$0.00$4.28
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.4500.000$0.00$38.00
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals0.4100.000$0.00$31.00
Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Kalieva (+1.5) · Sonmez0.4700.000$0.00$40.00
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) · St. Louis Cardinals0.6700.000$0.00$15.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigur · Tereza Valentova0.6200.000$0.00$10.00
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · TheMongolz0.4000.000$0.00$18.00
Bonzi vs. Dellien: Match O/U 21.5 · Over0.5080.000$0.00$40.00
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz · Leyre Romero Gormaz0.3900.000$0.00$5.00
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · No0.1800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 19:47Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.16$1.67
08-05 19:47Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?SELL0.31$3.16
08-05 19:47Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.019$4.75
08-05 19:47Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?SELL0.9$4.94
08-05 19:47Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?SELL0.9$5.23
08-05 19:46Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?SELL0.915$5.38
08-05 19:46Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?SELL0.9815801394$5.63
08-05 19:46Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?SELL0.87$5.92
08-05 19:46Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?SELL0.8870028011$6.33
08-05 19:46Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?SELL0.87$6.36
08-05 19:46Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.23$6.39
08-05 19:46Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026?SELL0.91$6.42
08-05 19:46Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?SELL0.91$6.50
08-05 19:46Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?SELL0.89$6.43
08-05 19:46Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?SELL0.8868399453$6.48