6878fa50835483
0x2163fe117ce669dae4aee7150c436a8d547ab139
- Realised P&L
- $-131.56
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $29.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.67at 0.420Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensik
- +$78.62at 0.433Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
- +$63.27at 0.707Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$61.24at 0.499U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$52.86at 0.630The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Astra Sharma vs Aoi Ito
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:47 | Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.67 |
| 08-05 19:47 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.16 |
| 08-05 19:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.019 | $4.75 |
| 08-05 19:47 | Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.94 |
| 08-05 19:47 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.23 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | SELL | 0.915 | $5.38 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.9815801394 | $5.63 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.92 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.8870028011 | $6.33 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.36 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $6.39 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.42 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.50 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.43 |
| 08-05 19:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.8868399453 | $6.48 |