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Traders

EmberPhantom2K

0x20bc3006d4ef4d54968870e015cabb41f0fd25d1

Realised P&L
$-9.20
Volume
$129.4k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$2.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? · No0.9780.966$2.17$0.03
Semtech (SMTC) Up or Down After Earnings? · Down0.9600.000$0.00$5.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:48Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?BUY0.9779999947$2.20
08-04 10:44Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?SELL0.08$0.41
07-26 12:20Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?BUY0.7893762713$4.05
07-26 12:19Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.978$5.26
06-03 06:59Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9809999981$5.28
06-03 06:59New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? SELL0.981$4.86
05-13 13:35New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? BUY0.9969999996$4.94
05-13 13:34Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.997$6.11
04-08 06:42Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.988999999$6.07
04-08 06:41Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?SELL0.954$6.08
04-03 02:12Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?BUY0.9489999948$6.05
04-03 02:12Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.983$6.05
03-17 06:31Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.97999987$6.03
03-11 10:44Will Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $610?BUY0.98$5.91
02-09 03:36Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on February 9?BUY0.9829998493$5.81