PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x208e6caeb1f94d7ec96908d22c3f4128bd3696d5

Realised P&L
$-0.91
Volume
$444.00
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$25.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8460.875$7.88+$0.26
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9590.996$6.97+$0.26
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9560.955$5.73$0.01
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0320.063$2.83+$1.40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.195$2.54$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 15:17Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.956$5.74
06-27 22:51Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.703$4.22
06-24 18:52Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$4.10
06-15 13:50Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.85$5.95
05-25 20:54Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.19$4.75
05-23 20:14Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.562$2.81
05-23 20:13Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.87$7.83
05-23 20:13Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.924$12.01
04-26 02:04Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.81$4.86
04-26 02:04Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.19$1.14
04-26 02:03U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.8$8.80
04-26 02:03U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.2$1.40
04-22 01:36Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.93$6.51
04-16 03:01Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$4.92
03-29 11:36Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.959$6.71