PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Valiv

0x1fb20e77e4ed8fe7b610a85ca4d68e90071ca893

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$110.0k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:40Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.32$71.11
08-02 22:39Macron out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93508647$73.54
07-31 20:30Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?BUY0.4699999801$2.60
07-31 20:30Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
07-31 20:29Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9111875149$70.00
07-31 20:28Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?BUY0.4551236626$7.00
07-31 20:28Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL0.95$82.19
07-30 17:09Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999999$331.30
07-30 17:07Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.09$1.80
07-30 17:07Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?SELL0.9946935652$334.05
07-27 08:34Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?BUY0.2999999911$16.85
07-27 08:33Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?BUY0.469999994$29.80
07-27 08:33Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.91$100.00
07-27 08:312026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.86$140.47
07-26 19:41Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0979999177$1.00