PolyBot

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Traders

0x1f6458ce63179c6deae264ce575bcab80c6b28da

Realised P&L
$2.46
Volume
$30.59
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$9.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5200.785$1.51+$0.51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.5300.715$1.35+$0.35
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7400.965$1.30+$0.30
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7600.890$1.17+$0.17
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.685$1.09+$0.09
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6900.715$1.04+$0.04
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.595$1.01+$0.01
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $146 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.4200.390$0.93$0.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2500.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 04:57WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-04 08:50Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-04 00:48Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
08-04 00:37Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.63$1.00
08-03 16:34Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-03 16:33Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-03 08:33Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $146 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-02 23:21Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-02 11:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.52$1.00
08-02 02:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
08-01 16:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.25$1.00
08-01 05:13New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-31 21:05Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-31 12:59Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-28 19:22Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00