PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SoloVad

0x1f64319e53251ba9937cede21877586e960b27c9

Realised P&L
$-253.99
Volume
$17.5k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$634.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1400.195$139.29+$39.29
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.0800.090$112.50+$12.50
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.7000.780$111.43+$11.43
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3700.365$98.65$1.35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.335$88.16$11.84
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1810.085$46.88$53.12
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0450.017$36.63$63.27
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0850.040$9.08$10.19
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0270.011$4.12$5.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.6400.000$0.00$100.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$39.85
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:22Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.369999998$100.00
08-03 19:21Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.262123406$63.72
07-26 09:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.64$100.00
07-20 12:24China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.5099999985$100.00
07-19 17:34Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999947$20.00
07-19 09:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?SELL0.9715930483$306.36
07-18 22:23Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.120600024$10.05
07-18 21:19Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.1799999909$15.00
07-16 07:38Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
07-15 21:10Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.9975$110.83
07-15 18:56Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3149999941$35.00
07-14 19:23Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2199999968$50.00
07-13 21:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.1813132795$100.00
07-13 17:34Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3799999987$100.00
07-11 22:00Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1399999989$100.00