zhma
0x1f4ed7e61c5a5e333eae2012f6b12c1ea1672004
- Realised P&L
- $164.24
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $81.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal · Yes | 0.170 | 0.160 | $81.28 | −$5.08 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.57 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.592 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.05 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.23 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.66 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.65 |
| France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$438.60at 0.152Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$89.37at 0.274Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$63.86at 0.300Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
- +$46.20at 0.390Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
- +$40.60at 0.410Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 16:42 | Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal | BUY | 0.17 | $86.36 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0982739689 | $18.00 |
| 07-19 21:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089999938 | $20.23 |
| 07-18 23:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999856 | $9.66 |
| 07-18 21:21 | France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.2486956251 | $5.50 |
| 07-15 16:59 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 13:25 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.592499987 | $6.05 |
| 07-11 23:07 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.587499972 | $6.55 |
| 07-10 18:46 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5899999612 | $3.95 |
| 07-09 22:12 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.9975 | $9.02 |
| 07-09 19:25 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6149999851 | $5.56 |
| 07-07 21:11 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5699999968 | $1.80 |
| 07-07 17:11 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $4.77 |
| 07-06 23:26 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 18:57 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |