dffdsf
0x1ed7568c96aa8e2d4b023a8b31215e368c349117
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $838.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.873 | $693.00 | +$61.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.626 | 0.780 | $177.91 | +$34.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up | 0.473 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$429.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$787.47at 0.327Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$626.28at 0.251Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?
- +$460.65at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$186.41at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$145.58at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6265830342 | $142.91 |
| 08-08 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.0946096406 | $14.19 |
| 08-08 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7956758585 | $631.62 |
| 08-07 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-07 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3265734048 | $387.64 |
| 08-07 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4735491689 | $429.88 |
| 08-07 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5974175672 | $43.12 |
| 08-07 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.48 | $21.60 |
| 08-07 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.002700135 | $0.54 |
| 08-07 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.0260103137 | $6.61 |
| 08-07 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.63 |
| 08-07 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.0809894999 | $22.75 |
| 08-07 06:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $32.13 |
| 08-07 06:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.520568446 | $479.22 |
| 08-07 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6464881778 | $178.82 |