sec9329
0x1e9884fc6934e2be1c6782eb83bc198b7c49e04e
- Realised P&L
- $-426.65
- Volume
- $44.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,285
- Open portfolio
- $7.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,285
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.53at 0.063Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$26.20at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$23.90at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$21.76at 0.194Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$20.10at 0.313Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 18:37 | Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.48 |
| 07-25 18:37 | Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 07-25 18:36 | Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | SELL | 0.124 | $0.87 |
| 07-25 18:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.89 |
| 07-25 18:36 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.046 | $1.01 |
| 07-25 18:36 | Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.044 | $1.32 |
| 07-24 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 07-24 05:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.085 | $1.19 |
| 07-23 23:08 | Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.39 |
| 07-23 23:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.63 |
| 07-23 23:06 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.03 |
| 07-23 23:06 | Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.133 | $3.33 |
| 07-20 16:07 | Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 07-20 16:07 | Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.88 |
| 07-20 16:07 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |