to010
0x1e3f34502860d729385fe7da49375c408343675c
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $1.73M
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.990 | $3.3k | +$101.71 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.999 | $269.43 | +$7.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 7? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $42.48 | +$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.903Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
- +$951.00at 0.966Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
- +$809.59at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?
- +$614.94at 0.969Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?
- +$518.82at 0.878Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 03:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $958.24 |
| 08-08 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.998 | $142.56 |
| 08-06 00:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $22.60 |
| 08-05 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $556.07 |
| 08-04 10:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $293.44 |
| 08-04 06:31 | Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.9883609023 | $26.29 |
| 08-04 00:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $296.11 |
| 08-03 12:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $435.93 |
| 08-03 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.8513 | $85.13 |
| 08-03 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.85 | $18.55 |
| 08-03 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.8565940054 | $12.57 |
| 08-03 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.38 | $31.89 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2989219331 | $160.82 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2448387097 | $7.59 |
| 08-01 15:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9964923342 | $490.72 |