skystar001
0x1e29756e7b63827cafb9cd39caa55eee77e5740f
- Realised P&L
- $-17.9k
- Volume
- $3.15M
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.486Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
- +$3.2kat 0.001Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
- +$1.9kat 0.470Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$393.16at 0.570Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
- +$370.72at 0.682Will Trump tweet 70-79 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 12:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 12:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 12:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 12:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2561576199 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999957 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $30.98 |
| 08-04 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $35.82 |
| 08-04 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999977 | $40.00 |
| 08-04 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 12:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |