numaz
0x1e06434a7361c00cf0588e0ec5c0c1e4b602dc4a
- Realised P&L
- $123.27
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $705.65 | +$0.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $388.81 | +$0.19 |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $343.62 | −$0.27 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $313.78 | +$0.16 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.982 | $150.16 | +$2.55 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $114.94 | +$0.06 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 8? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $99.80 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.63at 0.971Iran leadership change by July 31?
- +$22.70at 0.987Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$12.47at 0.978Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.95at 0.943Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$8.10at 0.974Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 06:43 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $388.61 |
| 08-06 06:41 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 08-06 06:40 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $705.29 |
| 08-06 06:39 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $270.73 |
| 08-06 06:39 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-06 06:39 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $73.16 |
| 08-05 08:39 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $313.63 |
| 07-30 09:05 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $154.69 |
| 07-30 09:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $153.85 |
| 07-25 13:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July? | BUY | 0.994 | $153.08 |
| 07-22 20:07 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.9549070428 | $245.41 |
| 07-22 20:07 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9653366032 | $147.61 |
| 07-22 20:04 | Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 07-22 20:04 | Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $93.80 |
| 07-20 19:19 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $810.56 |