PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x1ccfc1300c019d288f4837afa1c918df44ab1198

Realised P&L
$2.00
Volume
$109.61
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$4.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 6? · Yes0.0260.056$2.15+$1.15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 8? · No0.6100.470$0.77$0.23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 6? · No0.6500.425$0.65$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 7? · Yes0.0500.025$0.50$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7? · No0.6500.325$0.50$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 5? · Yes0.1600.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 19:14Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.16$1.00
08-05 15:49Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 7?BUY0.05$1.00
08-05 06:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 6?BUY0.025999975$1.00
08-04 13:27Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.059999946$1.00
08-02 19:18Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.08$1.00
08-02 08:33Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 8?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
08-01 19:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-01 07:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 1?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
07-31 20:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?BUY0.65$1.00
07-31 16:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 6?BUY0.65$1.00
07-30 19:17Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 30?BUY0.6$1.00
07-26 21:16Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?BUY0.7899995339$1.00
07-25 19:23Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 25?BUY0.7099994391$1.00