PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1ccdefae26851f0c085764ab9c1855f83f6d510d

Realised P&L
$-228.18
Volume
$34.7k
Markets traded
315
Open portfolio
$28.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded315
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.6300.625$5.00$0.04
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · No0.2800.275$4.96$0.09
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee? · No0.7300.720$4.31$0.06
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.785$4.26$0.03
Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7900.640$4.02$0.94
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · No0.4260.400$2.22$0.15
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.300$1.62$1.57
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.2700.255$1.49$0.09
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · No0.5400.150$0.69$1.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:01OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?BUY0.4262431903$2.36
08-02 08:13Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?SELL0.74$0.89
08-02 08:01Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?SELL0.75$3.75
07-31 20:16Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999926$4.29
07-31 20:06Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?SELL0.99$5.50
07-31 19:44Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.62$4.19
07-31 18:51Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.64$4.33
07-31 15:19Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?BUY0.7799998598$4.34
07-31 13:59Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.776$4.32
07-31 11:23Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?SELL0.799$4.35
07-31 08:59Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.7$4.34
07-31 07:53Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?SELL0.74$4.37
07-31 02:04Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?BUY0.8$4.36
07-31 01:10Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?BUY0.73$4.37
07-31 01:10Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?BUY0.7399999627$4.37