asdr.bnn
0x1cbcdaf30c963f17cab0779a792772779440dd94
- Realised P&L
- $-81.89
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.82at 0.790US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$13.29at 0.390Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.61at 0.920US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.51at 0.877Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
- +$0.45at 0.965Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 19:41 | The Memphis Classic: Tatjana Maria vs Renata Zarazua | BUY | 0.6 | $2.80 |
| 07-21 07:03 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 07-21 06:53 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.80 |
| 07-21 06:52 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 07-21 06:52 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.50 |
| 07-21 06:50 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |
| 07-21 06:29 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 21:13 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3899999862 | $8.50 |
| 06-29 13:51 | Egypt leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.7299999866 | $9.26 |
| 06-21 13:08 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.9649999985 | $12.53 |
| 06-14 15:52 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7599999977 | $13.34 |
| 06-04 17:47 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.669999919 | $2.48 |
| 06-02 22:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.52 |
| 06-02 22:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY | 0.0340000007 | $1.95 |
| 06-02 17:10 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.64 | $4.57 |