JamesLewis6203
0x1caee5196a2b5236c174a62859e496289ad6c0ee
- Realised P&L
- $885.58
- Volume
- $195.8k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $146.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$761.39at 0.270Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$371.00at 0.220Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
- +$206.10at 0.700Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
- +$111.40at 0.390Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$84.77at 0.624Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 15:47 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $43.45 |
| 02-08 11:57 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $156.42 |
| 02-08 11:48 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $135.72 |
| 01-11 16:18 | Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round? | BUY | 0.7 | $480.90 |
| 01-11 15:23 | Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round? | SELL | 0.55 | $77.55 |
| 01-11 14:17 | Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round? | BUY | 0.59 | $83.19 |
| 01-11 13:11 | Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX? | SELL | 0.88 | $523.60 |
| 01-11 09:04 | Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX? | BUY | 0.89 | $529.55 |
| 01-11 08:42 | Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.72 | $201.60 |
| 01-11 08:41 | Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.71 | $70.29 |
| 01-11 02:03 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $514.28 |
| 01-10 14:23 | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.87 | $546.36 |
| 01-10 08:28 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $315.98 |
| 01-10 06:01 | Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k? | SELL | 0.35 | $144.20 |
| 01-10 06:00 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round? | SELL | 0.69 | $224.25 |