haDekel
0x1c71c3aacd6100b4f79cd110febc84c3c634d0af
- Realised P&L
- $-198.10
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.015 | $1.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 21? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 19? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 19? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 19? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 19? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.69at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20?
- +$6.70at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 21?
- +$3.62at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$3.25at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?
- +$1.16at 0.060Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-19 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-18 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.0629433962 | $3.34 |
| 07-17 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.031 | $1.43 |
| 05-02 14:32 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.63 |
| 04-15 20:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.11 |
| 04-09 20:32 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.58 |
| 04-07 22:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $0.87 |
| 04-07 22:47 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.80 |
| 04-07 22:45 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.755 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 22:45 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13? | SELL | 0.020625 | $0.83 |
| 04-07 22:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 12? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 04-07 22:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.04 |
| 04-07 22:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.75 |