0x1B12d5a36522Fc9459c6B3F35b00325D416E7A89-1769536415565
0x1b12d5a36522fc9459c6b3f35b00325d416e7a89
- Realised P&L
- $8.4k
- Volume
- $449.4k
- Markets traded
- 529
- Open portfolio
- $34.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded529
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$810.49at 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?
- +$808.72at 0.025Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
- +$636.00at 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 12?
- +$586.59at 0.030Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on June 2?
- +$549.35at 0.087Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.61 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $22.20 |
| 08-05 18:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $28.20 |
| 08-05 15:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.996 | $90.07 |
| 08-05 14:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.0572072072 | $6.35 |
| 08-05 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.32 |
| 08-05 14:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | SELL | 0.03013 | $3.31 |
| 08-05 14:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.119 | $13.09 |
| 08-05 12:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 08-04 20:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1689999 | $16.90 |
| 08-04 17:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $13.50 |
| 08-04 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 08-04 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 08-04 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $62.64 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |