SupremeContext
0x1a80f33ca4403dae5d8f37dcbb2a45106cec74f4
- Realised P&L
- $70.78
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $6.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.30at 0.056Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?
- +$40.45at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$30.71at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$23.61at 0.175Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$18.81at 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.48 |
| 08-05 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.33 |
| 08-05 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.73 |
| 08-05 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 08-05 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.92 |
| 08-05 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.3473529412 | $3.31 |
| 08-05 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-05 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2699999232 | $2.25 |
| 08-05 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.2899999397 | $2.50 |
| 08-05 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |