PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

SupremeContext

0x1a80f33ca4403dae5d8f37dcbb2a45106cec74f4

Realised P&L
$70.78
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
261
Open portfolio
$6.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded261
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 19:16Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?SELL0.26$1.48
08-05 17:48Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?SELL0.21$2.33
08-05 17:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5?SELL0.3$2.73
08-05 16:54Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?SELL0.67$3.35
08-05 14:20Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-05 13:56Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-05 13:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5?SELL0.35$2.92
08-05 13:36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5?SELL0.3473529412$3.31
08-05 10:19Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 6?BUY0.2$2.00
08-05 09:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?BUY0.44$2.20
08-05 09:54Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-05 09:54Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5?BUY0.2699999232$2.25
08-05 09:54Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-05 09:54Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 6?BUY0.2899999397$2.50
08-05 08:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 6?SELL0.18$1.80
Trader SupremeContext · PolyBot