baby009
0x1a09feef5edd5fae82caae979ae68474f0d60383
- Realised P&L
- $246.38
- Volume
- $53.8k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $478.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $299.25 | +$0.45 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? · No | 0.994 | 0.995 | $99.45 | +$0.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · No | 0.993 | 0.994 | $49.67 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? · No | 0.990 | 0.994 | $29.80 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.00at 0.498Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 17?
- +$113.82at 0.580Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?
- +$22.40at 0.440Oilers vs. Devils
- +$19.69at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
- +$7.76at 0.612Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $298.80 |
| 08-03 12:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 08-03 12:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.65 |
| 07-30 07:27 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 07-25 12:21 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $59.22 |
| 07-25 12:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 07-25 11:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.995 | $73.58 |
| 07-25 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $700.88 |
| 07-25 11:51 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.31 |
| 07-25 11:51 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.48 |
| 07-25 11:50 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 07-25 11:34 | Megaquake by July 31? | BUY | 0.974 | $12.17 |
| 06-30 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.80 |
| 06-30 10:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 06-16 03:34 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $254.21 |