Libertariano
0x1955efa7a136f5421ac0689c6d82017c35c67446
- Realised P&L
- $-20.84
- Volume
- $972.63
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $4.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.059 | $2.40 | −$2.03 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.039 | $1.41 | +$0.90 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.022 | $1.03 | −$1.27 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.46 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.77at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
- +$0.60at 0.713Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?
- +$0.59at 0.769Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?
- +$0.47at 0.770Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 10?
- +$0.47at 0.857Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 03:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.02 |
| 06-01 09:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.51 |
| 05-25 08:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.87 |
| 05-25 08:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.20 |
| 05-23 19:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.11 |
| 05-23 18:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.09 |
| 05-17 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 17? | BUY | 0.9069999632 | $1.28 |
| 05-17 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.29 |
| 05-17 19:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.03 |
| 05-17 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18? | BUY | 0.8299999822 | $1.40 |
| 05-16 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.03 |
| 05-16 20:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 17? | BUY | 0.9059999419 | $1.03 |
| 05-16 20:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.03 |
| 05-16 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 16? | BUY | 0.939999718 | $1.20 |