4366565
0x18c934292cc87ec1f8d2fbcd1dfc0b3b6be38052
- Realised P&L
- $5.08
- Volume
- $24.7k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $131.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $131.67 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.71at 0.450Oilers vs. Utah
- +$21.59at 0.863Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$3.09at 0.020Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$2.15at 0.982Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
- +$1.10at 0.053Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.997 | $131.60 |
| 07-02 10:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $132.00 |
| 06-15 11:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.00 |
| 06-11 12:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | SELL | 0.989 | $131.93 |
| 06-08 11:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.982 | $131.00 |
| 06-03 11:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | SELL | 0.974 | $131.21 |
| 06-02 12:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.965 | $130.00 |
| 05-25 13:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9979999926 | $130.00 |
| 05-19 10:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.00 |
| 05-08 11:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.00 |
| 04-12 10:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999979 | $125.00 |
| 04-12 09:59 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.064 | $6.40 |
| 04-03 10:22 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.053 | $5.30 |
| 03-25 01:11 | Oilers vs. Utah | BUY | 0.4499999991 | $147.85 |
| 03-25 01:00 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.90 |