PolyBot

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Traders

4366565

0x18c934292cc87ec1f8d2fbcd1dfc0b3b6be38052

Realised P&L
$5.08
Volume
$24.7k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$131.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No0.9970.998$131.67+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 13:35Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9?BUY0.997$131.60
07-02 10:56Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?BUY0.99$132.00
06-15 11:20Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 15-21?BUY0.999$132.00
06-11 12:54Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?SELL0.989$131.93
06-08 11:39Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?BUY0.982$131.00
06-03 11:24Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?SELL0.974$131.21
06-02 12:33Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?BUY0.965$130.00
05-25 13:19Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?BUY0.9979999926$130.00
05-19 10:40Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?BUY0.999$130.00
05-08 11:17Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?BUY0.999$130.00
04-12 10:30Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9639999979$125.00
04-12 09:59Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.064$6.40
04-03 10:22Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.053$5.30
03-25 01:11Oilers vs. UtahBUY0.4499999991$147.85
03-25 01:00Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$0.90