MRS.ESC
0x186cb988d9e52f3273c7b739c8b8877d537311ce
- Realised P&L
- $-571.46
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $78.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal · Yes | 0.180 | 0.160 | $78.81 | −$9.78 |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.66 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.33 |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.65 |
| Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.05 |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.45 |
| Exact Score: SC Freiburg 0 - 1 SC Braga? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.58 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$351.38 |
| Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.18at 0.355Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$78.65at 0.147Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$64.01at 0.180Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
- +$52.80at 0.520Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
- +$14.64at 0.358Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:23 | Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal | BUY | 0.1798578882 | $88.59 |
| 06-30 12:18 | Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0406164762 | $8.53 |
| 06-30 12:16 | Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.19 | $56.05 |
| 06-16 00:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.147 | $13.55 |
| 05-17 00:26 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.33 |
| 05-17 00:06 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.052 | $351.38 |
| 05-17 00:02 | Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16318 | $1.63 |
| 05-17 00:02 | Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1875721951 | $76.90 |
| 05-16 23:32 | Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $228.16 |
| 05-16 23:03 | Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.0033969677 | $1.05 |
| 05-16 15:46 | Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.0776572529 | $26.01 |
| 05-15 17:27 | Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.040493346 | $42.60 |
| 05-15 17:25 | Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.2631279324 | $16.82 |
| 05-15 17:24 | Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $123.98 |
| 05-15 17:23 | Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $14.20 |