0x18263Cd34274244198D2d30e1943dA2429CBC31E-1783175794616
0x18263cd34274244198d2d30e1943da2429cbc31e
- Realised P&L
- $-303.35
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $23.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.095 | $20.65 | −$79.35 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.011 | $1.80 | −$48.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.06at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$58.70at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$29.03at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?
- +$17.50at 0.800Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 7?
- +$15.83at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.14 |
| 08-07 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.7 | $5.60 |
| 08-07 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.6636377614 | $43.16 |
| 08-07 06:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $8.13 |
| 08-06 15:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 6? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 20:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2978134695 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 19:55 | XRP Up or Down - August 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3861594896 | $48.42 |
| 08-05 19:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 19:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 19:09 | XRP Up or Down - August 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $2.10 |
| 08-05 19:09 | XRP Up or Down - August 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 08-05 19:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $3.23 |
| 08-05 19:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |