baibeqk
0x1819ce6a911624fc32628ff48a6c6f2f70f7be63
- Realised P&L
- $-133.42
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $45.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$353.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$350.50at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$350.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$350.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$350.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0030436304 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 11:42 | Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 05-01 09:06 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | SELL | 0.0165148571 | $1.16 |
| 05-01 09:06 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | SELL | 0.974272 | $68.20 |
| 04-30 14:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 10:43 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $19.25 |
| 04-27 12:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27? | BUY | 0.9989999908 | $97.99 |
| 04-27 12:23 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $22.00 |
| 04-25 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.71 |
| 04-24 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on April 26? | BUY | 0.0020338804 | $1.80 |
| 04-23 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 24? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.62 |
| 04-22 11:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.43 |
| 04-21 13:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 21? | BUY | 0.0162011814 | $10.30 |
| 04-15 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 16? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.86 |
| 04-06 14:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $299.91 |