dbiii
0x17d92c189e61d4842ec50274e4c1522e26896e04
- Realised P&L
- $-0.71
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $14.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.25at 0.032Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$20.22at 0.090Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
- +$3.17at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$2.55at 0.440US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.300Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 18:11 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2279998714 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 18:10 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3624998595 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 18:10 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 07:43 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 07:41 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3769999385 | $2.00 |
| 05-30 18:29 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 15:49 | Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 15:45 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.0829999292 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 15:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 20:45 | Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0464060057 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 20:44 | Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 16:03 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 15:51 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.65 | $0.98 |
| 04-08 15:51 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $0.97 |
| 04-08 08:17 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |