23232ss
0x17c5744c243791d0b4bedd08665eb1844563e7ee
- Realised P&L
- $-220.79
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $8.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.910 | 1.000 | $6.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.945 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.460 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.98 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? · 150k | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first? · 130k | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$560.00at 0.440Maple Leafs vs. Devils
- +$129.00at 0.570Rangers vs. Sabres
- +$2.44at 0.450Hawks vs. Heat
- +$1.71at 0.700Pistons vs. Heat
- +$0.49at 0.670Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-16 07:11 | Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.00 |
| 02-16 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $4.96 |
| 02-16 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 02-16 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $2.77 |
| 02-16 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $4.98 |
| 10-27 16:44 | Will Google say "Gemini" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 16:44 | Will Apple say "Apple Intelligence" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 13:52 | Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 14:43 | Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 14:38 | Will East West Bancorp (EWBC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:59 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:59 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:59 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:59 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 19:58 | Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18? | BUY | 0.6999999825 | $4.00 |