eyeonu
0x17bd8a9d2f9f5754d327528d28797aed50a6f0ba
- Realised P&L
- $447.05
- Volume
- $161.8k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $22.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.336Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$692.09at 0.612Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$251.85at 0.662Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?
- +$240.55at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?
- +$238.71at 0.251Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:38 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.55 |
| 08-08 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1689380531 | $19.09 |
| 08-08 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5886842105 | $44.74 |
| 08-08 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.578768853 | $49.50 |
| 08-08 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5063 | $50.63 |
| 08-07 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.98 | $12.42 |
| 08-07 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6258139535 | $26.91 |
| 08-07 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8251393056 | $115.50 |
| 08-07 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4144444444 | $7.46 |
| 08-07 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1376344937 | $3.48 |
| 08-07 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1777151966 | $3.34 |
| 08-07 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 08-07 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.52 |