PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Io2048

0x177fb987ad596a8d5de2b8623daf38893ce0692d

Realised P&L
$188.80
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$560.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.085$182.14$117.86
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? · Yes0.3190.343$107.33+$7.33
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1600.155$96.88$3.13
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? · Yes0.2310.203$87.77$12.23
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0420.025$58.81$41.19
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? · No0.0300.081$27.11+$17.11
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? · Dan0.2100.000$0.00$191.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.0180.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:56Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?BUY0.3191063173$100.00
08-02 22:56Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?BUY0.2312751822$100.00
07-26 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSELL0.68$36.17
07-26 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.4699999932$25.00
07-26 20:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.5899999953$25.00
07-26 20:18Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.998$100.00
07-26 20:17Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.16$100.00
07-26 20:17Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0416619268$100.00
07-20 06:29Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?SELL0.94$211.02
07-15 20:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.8$25.00
07-15 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
07-15 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.085980087$5.00
07-15 10:05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999999$200.00
06-29 18:56Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?BUY0.0296978246$10.00
06-29 18:56Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?BUY0.4454481877$100.00