Io2048
0x177fb987ad596a8d5de2b8623daf38893ce0692d
- Realised P&L
- $188.80
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $560.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.085 | $182.14 | −$117.86 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.343 | $107.33 | +$7.33 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $96.88 | −$3.13 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.203 | $87.77 | −$12.23 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.025 | $58.81 | −$41.19 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? · No | 0.030 | 0.081 | $27.11 | +$17.11 |
| Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? · Dan | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$191.77 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.87at 0.620Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$143.64at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$111.02at 0.445Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
- +$11.17at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$6.25at 0.800Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:56 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | BUY | 0.3191063173 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 22:56 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | BUY | 0.2312751822 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $36.17 |
| 07-26 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999932 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999953 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 20:18 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 20:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 20:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0416619268 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 06:29 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $211.02 |
| 07-15 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.085980087 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 10:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999999 | $200.00 |
| 06-29 18:56 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? | BUY | 0.0296978246 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 18:56 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | BUY | 0.4454481877 | $100.00 |