yurthgnn
0x16fc9f4d9915cc47eaa07207f18fe85c4c0d7628
- Realised P&L
- $153.12
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $127.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $122.94 | −$0.06 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on August 5? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.997 | $4.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.00at 0.240Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
- +$41.00at 0.590Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?
- +$7.73at 0.970LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
- +$4.54at 0.991Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
- +$2.88at 0.986Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:49 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 11:48 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $123.00 |
| 07-01 08:20 | LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In | BUY | 0.97 | $250.00 |
| 07-01 08:16 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9709678291 | $459.97 |
| 06-19 12:14 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June? | BUY | 0.9939998536 | $6.60 |
| 06-16 14:39 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 06-07 10:51 | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9929998453 | $6.00 |
| 06-07 10:50 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9752519348 | $462.00 |
| 05-30 06:20 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999985 | $400.00 |
| 05-06 12:11 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $463.00 |
| 04-22 11:23 | Will Solana reach $160 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 04-08 14:02 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $463.00 |
| 03-22 13:04 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of March? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 03-20 11:00 | Will Solana dip to $10 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.00 |
| 03-11 16:42 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $422.00 |