PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

erwei

0x16cf28246d687bba4ebf1f7a354d88b20e32e3ba

Realised P&L
$-174.51
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
594
Open portfolio
$4.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded594
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 10:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 9?SELL0.19$0.95
08-09 10:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 9?BUY0.22$1.10
08-09 09:03Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 9?BUY0.02$0.20
08-09 08:18Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 9?BUY0.48$2.40
08-09 07:31Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 9?SELL0.28$1.40
08-09 03:33Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 9?BUY0.35$1.75
08-08 13:17Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?SELL0.91$4.55
08-08 08:50Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8?SELL0.2$1.00
08-08 07:51Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 8?SELL0.09$0.73
08-08 04:01Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 8?BUY0.14$1.13
08-08 03:01Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?BUY0.45$2.25
08-08 02:01Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8?BUY0.26$1.30
08-07 13:49Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?SELL0.77$3.85
08-07 12:31Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7?SELL0.75$3.75
08-07 12:28Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7?SELL0.22$1.10