Godefroy-DeBouillon
0x164842ccb45ef1e06ffd74a1c6dba93e84cca676
- Realised P&L
- $-134.37
- Volume
- $177.8k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.925 | $614.92 | +$16.62 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.804 | 0.785 | $507.42 | −$12.24 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.862 | 0.890 | $451.90 | +$14.35 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No | 0.907 | 0.875 | $437.24 | −$15.83 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.955 | $321.91 | +$21.91 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.895 | $268.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.400 | $99.95 | −$13.66 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$689.32at 0.096Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$311.86at 0.669Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$280.31at 0.211Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$252.59at 0.716Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?
- +$215.66at 0.730US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:44 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $364.82 |
| 08-02 06:43 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $154.84 |
| 08-02 06:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $153.08 |
| 08-02 06:34 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 06:33 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 06:33 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 06:32 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 06:31 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 06:31 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 06:31 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 06:31 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 08-02 06:30 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $60.72 |
| 08-02 06:30 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 08-02 06:29 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $21.75 |
| 08-02 06:29 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $40.02 |