PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x164127d945e0E0c34137d901627AEeb59Cb15cc7-1780773090947

0x164127d945e0e0c34137d901627aeeb59cb15cc7

Realised P&L
$71.08
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$28.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0370.040$13.34+$0.84
Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? · Yes0.4600.495$11.19+$0.79
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1440.128$4.43$0.57
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.05
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$0.06
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$3.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 02:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0369999972$12.50
07-26 23:54Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1439999763$5.00
07-26 23:53Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?BUY0.4601683137$10.40
07-26 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.999$50.81
07-21 07:15Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.867$2.44
07-21 07:15Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?SELL0.015$0.79
07-15 08:19Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.08$2.75
07-15 08:19Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.7069999749$2.00
07-12 02:59Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.01$1.05
07-09 15:09Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?SELL0.011$1.14
07-07 00:48Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.0367615106$1.87
07-06 19:05Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
07-06 19:04Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?BUY0.08$3.11
07-06 19:04Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?BUY0.08$2.00
07-04 10:19Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?BUY0.057255847$3.00