0x164127d945e0E0c34137d901627AEeb59Cb15cc7-1780773090947
0x164127d945e0e0c34137d901627aeeb59cb15cc7
- Realised P&L
- $71.08
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $28.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.040 | $13.34 | +$0.84 |
| Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.495 | $11.19 | +$0.79 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.128 | $4.43 | −$0.57 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.94at 0.037Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$31.63at 0.080Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$10.36at 0.110Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$1.92at 0.182Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$0.45at 0.707Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 02:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0369999972 | $12.50 |
| 07-26 23:54 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1439999763 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 23:53 | Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4601683137 | $10.40 |
| 07-26 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.81 |
| 07-21 07:15 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.867 | $2.44 |
| 07-21 07:15 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.79 |
| 07-15 08:19 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.75 |
| 07-15 08:19 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7069999749 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 02:59 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.05 |
| 07-09 15:09 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.14 |
| 07-07 00:48 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0367615106 | $1.87 |
| 07-06 19:05 | Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 19:04 | Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.11 |
| 07-06 19:04 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 10:19 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.057255847 | $3.00 |