0x15D283C284fc30e7d20b2Cc6c405667b089E42D4-1775594552787
0x15d283c284fc30e7d20b2cc6c405667b089e42d4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.38
- Volume
- $51.11
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $7.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 1.000 | $3.70 | +$2.70 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · Yes | 0.730 | 1.000 | $2.26 | +$0.61 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.255 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.300 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.055 | $0.24 | −$1.76 |
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.19at 0.147Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.90at 0.180Will Trump attend UFC 327?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 12:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.175 | $1.19 |
| 04-11 21:58 | Will Trump attend UFC 327? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 04-09 20:04 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.729999956 | $1.63 |
| 04-09 20:02 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 20:01 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 19:59 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 19:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1469998765 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 19:54 | Will Trump attend UFC 327? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 16:40 | Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 16:40 | Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 16:35 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |