0x158Fe9f8Ae1D37773B8b4e7982D3DEE7A72C0246-1770209309704
0x158fe9f8ae1d37773b8b4e7982d3dee7a72c0246
- Realised P&L
- $-9.59
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $18.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$317.50at 0.500Solana Up or Down on February 6?
- +$315.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down - February 11, 10AM ET
- +$315.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$315.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$315.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.00 |
| 03-19 11:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.50 |
| 03-17 08:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $375.00 |
| 03-13 12:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 13? | BUY | 0.997 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 13:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 12:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 11? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 11:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $180.00 |
| 03-09 12:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $166.00 |
| 03-07 13:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.999 | $450.00 |
| 03-06 13:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6? | BUY | 0.9929999975 | $115.00 |
| 03-05 12:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.9950230665 | $110.00 |
| 03-04 10:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 4? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 13:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $330.00 |
| 02-28 10:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 28? | BUY | 0.0088542589 | $1.00 |
| 02-12 11:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $250.00 |