0x1556a6663bc514e579411a07ed75475d23c8dec5
- Realised P&L
- $-676.59
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $9.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals · Minnesota Twins | 0.470 | 0.475 | $9.69 | +$0.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$207.90 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$445.30 |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes · Golden Knights | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.20 |
| Penguins vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Senators vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.90 |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens · Lightning | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.33 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Ducks vs. Blues · Blues | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.88 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.62 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks · Bucks | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.80 |
| Capitals vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$139.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$576.98at 0.660Wizards vs. Pacers
- +$342.20at 0.410Heat vs. Mavericks
- +$315.70at 0.590Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$297.60at 0.680Trail Blazers vs. Raptors
- +$175.68at 0.390Bulls vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 06:34 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.52 | $7.22 |
| 12-02 14:23 | Heat vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.41 | $237.80 |
| 12-01 14:32 | Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.62 | $62.62 |
| 11-30 12:06 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.27 | $207.90 |
| 11-29 17:08 | Flames vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.69 | $0.59 |
| 11-29 16:06 | Capitals vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.48 | $139.20 |
| 11-26 14:02 | Bulls vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.39 | $112.32 |
| 11-26 12:15 | Bucks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.27 | $118.80 |