thegoldenfold
0x153eb436a32aa5f1048654f8413ee2f5dea598af
- Realised P&L
- $9.19
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $211.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.38at 0.520LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.27at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 6?
- +$0.45at 0.910Counter-Strike: eSuba vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner
- +$0.30at 0.770LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
- +$0.29at 0.680LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0192307692 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.0143926142 | $0.74 |
| 08-07 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1111111111 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0190497962 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 09:54 | Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? | BUY | 0.7453905051 | $150.00 |
| 08-07 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.019436346 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:40 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.0376473029 | $9.07 |
| 08-07 06:46 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group | SELL | 0.7 | $10.29 |
| 08-07 06:44 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 02:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0339095685 | $4.72 |
| 08-07 00:50 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 00:50 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |