BarometerBill
0x150218d2fc30135f42728a7ba9698469fcd2922e
- Realised P&L
- $-431.29
- Volume
- $127.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,357
- Open portfolio
- $706.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,357
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.90at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?
- +$45.00at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 21?
- +$30.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23?
- +$30.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?
- +$26.60at 0.530Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.52 |
| 08-05 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $185.82 |
| 08-05 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $187.50 |
| 08-05 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.961 | $61.86 |
| 08-05 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.966275969 | $186.97 |
| 08-05 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.01 |
| 08-05 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 08-05 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.961 | $48.05 |
| 08-04 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.08 |
| 08-04 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9714606186 | $47.12 |
| 08-04 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $25.60 |
| 08-04 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.99 |
| 08-03 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.84 |
| 08-03 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9283091738 | $183.16 |
| 08-03 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $187.50 |