parymith
0x13ca4cefcd2eae893ff60f773aafe1e8ca649351
- Realised P&L
- $8.02
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $59.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $39.94 | −$0.02 |
| Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $9.98 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80at 0.910Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 3?
- +$0.30at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 7?
- +$0.27at 0.990Will Solana reach $150 June 1-7?
- +$0.24at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 20?
- +$0.18at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 08-07 01:06 | Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-07 01:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-07 01:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-03 00:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 00:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-03 00:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.39 |
| 08-01 01:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-01 01:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-01 01:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-30 00:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-30 00:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-30 00:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 07-29 01:43 | Bitcoin above 62,600 on July 28, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 07-29 01:43 | Bitcoin above 65,000 on July 28, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |