0x1386a7fb3242261307594c79f64613527870a009
- Realised P&L
- $-31.96
- Volume
- $240.49
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $20.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Strategic" during Friday roundtable? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.680 | $10.56 | +$0.16 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $7.39 | −$2.01 |
| Will Trump say "Voter ID" during Tele-Rally? · Yes | 0.853 | 0.450 | $1.98 | −$1.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.47at 0.940Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
- +$0.12at 0.980Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
- +$-3.18at 0.680Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$-4.47at 0.190Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$-8.75at 0.300Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 19:44 | Will Trump say "Voter ID" during Tele-Rally? | BUY | 0.8532757747 | $3.75 |
| 08-06 18:03 | Will Trump say "Strategic" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.6699999813 | $10.40 |
| 08-06 18:01 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.0699999932 | $9.40 |
| 08-05 22:22 | Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.96 |
| 08-05 22:07 | Will Trump say "Refund" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.8546491476 | $5.75 |
| 08-05 19:42 | Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? | BUY | 0.9399999949 | $7.41 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.6799999487 | $3.18 |
| 08-05 16:00 | Will Trump say "Refund" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.8599999903 | $7.07 |
| 08-04 14:47 | Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.2999999829 | $8.75 |
| 08-04 14:10 | Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.1899999719 | $4.47 |