Noupeinnouguein
0x133a983218418809df1a1fcf71e984f1cb448397
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $506.7k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$794.68at 0.997US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$759.75at 0.351Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$429.43at 0.368Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
- +$328.24at 0.367Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$291.66at 0.636Nothing Ever Happens: March
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9919999707 | $33.00 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 10:16 | Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 10:15 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3659742799 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 09:00 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 20:40 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 11:26 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3815386167 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 11:21 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3799999942 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 11:03 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 11:01 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $19.99 |
| 07-27 21:15 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 21:01 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1833801725 | $50.00 |
| 07-27 20:59 | Will Trump nationalize elections? | SELL | 0.1825742639 | $27.96 |
| 07-27 20:01 | Trump out as President by July 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $32.33 |
| 07-27 19:28 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $56.00 |