PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Noupeinnouguein

0x133a983218418809df1a1fcf71e984f1cb448397

Realised P&L
$-3.8k
Volume
$506.7k
Markets traded
336
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded336
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Maduro guilty of all counts? · No0.7720.765$1.3k$12.56
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1450.065$963.86$1.2k
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.4620.345$222.40$75.33
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3710.360$123.01$3.65
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3660.220$117.80$78.10
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · No0.9840.978$99.34$0.66
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1830.190$51.80+$1.80
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.5180.520$50.17+$0.17
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.4550.115$48.82$144.18
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3400.280$41.19$8.81
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0100.009$37.99$2.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9920.998$33.18+$0.18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2020.192$18.96$1.04
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5640.585$10.38+$0.38
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · Yes0.2440.095$9.74$15.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.9919999707$33.00
08-02 15:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
08-02 10:16Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?BUY0.984$100.00
08-02 10:15Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.3659742799$50.00
08-02 09:00Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$10.00
08-01 20:40Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$10.00
08-01 11:26Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.3815386167$100.00
08-01 11:21Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.3799999942$30.00
08-01 11:03Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0699999987$50.00
08-01 11:01Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$19.99
07-27 21:15Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?BUY0.997$6.00
07-27 21:01Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1833801725$50.00
07-27 20:59Will Trump nationalize elections?SELL0.1825742639$27.96
07-27 20:01Trump out as President by July 31?SELL0.002$32.33
07-27 19:28Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$56.00