rana222
0x13022915f5b5456cf9ab120fc49551e08075e4b7
- Realised P&L
- $2.44
- Volume
- $58.42
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $10.09
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.250Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$2.70at 0.270Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.03at 0.330Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.380Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
- +$1.44at 0.410Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 05:47 | US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 08:56 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 08:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 07:49 | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 05:01 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 06-01 09:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 09:11 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.792999866 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 08:38 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2449998542 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 15:36 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 04:04 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.8009999704 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 03:57 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 03:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 03:42 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 13:13 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.3579997816 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 12:56 | Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |