0x11ec388a14f73449005cf1ae5e8ba895ad27e989
- Realised P&L
- $18.14
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $5.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 10? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.210 | $3.55 | +$0.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 10? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.070 | $1.41 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.81at 0.054Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 16?
- +$25.81at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?
- +$19.84at 0.166Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?
- +$19.75at 0.159Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?
- +$16.26at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.80 |
| 08-09 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.41 |
| 08-09 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.98 |
| 08-09 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.04 |
| 08-09 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.98 |
| 08-09 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.95 |
| 08-09 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.1546127946 | $2.87 |
| 08-09 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.439999976 | $2.93 |
| 08-09 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.04 |
| 08-09 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1883830455 | $2.88 |
| 08-09 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.0858714849 | $1.04 |
| 08-09 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.1699999603 | $2.87 |
| 08-08 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.13 |
| 08-08 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.10 |
| 08-08 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |