quantsteven
0x11d0e138fbb9e1a4decb8b8a16fa81b6f96c69c9
- Realised P&L
- $-367.02
- Volume
- $133.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,334
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,334
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.70at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 22?
- +$159.26at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?
- +$146.78at 0.772Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?
- +$140.00at 0.013Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$73.49at 0.835Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.617584991 | $92.83 |
| 08-07 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.95 | $53.18 |
| 08-07 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.57 | $14.25 |
| 08-07 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.03 | $11.90 |
| 08-07 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.84 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8271202304 | $22.98 |
| 08-07 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8007859663 | $40.86 |
| 08-07 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $28.80 |
| 08-07 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $68.25 |
| 08-07 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9174276527 | $28.53 |
| 08-07 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.926792473 | $86.68 |
| 08-07 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 08-07 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 08-07 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.7402406554 | $14.46 |
| 08-07 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.7475719863 | $61.27 |