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Traders

sobra

0x118f84b55e2270e000038a92f3e3fac764df2d39

Realised P&L
$-65.47
Volume
$25.0k
Markets traded
312
Open portfolio
$36.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded312
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 10:43Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6?BUY0.57$5.70
08-04 18:55Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?SELL0.46$2.53
08-04 13:46Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5?BUY0.42$2.10
08-04 13:45Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5?BUY0.33$3.30
08-04 13:44Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.26$2.60
08-04 12:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?BUY0.34$1.87
08-02 07:23Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?SELL0.42$2.10
07-31 06:32Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 31?SELL0.31$1.55
07-24 05:28Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?SELL0.64$4.86
07-22 07:25Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?SELL0.22$8.80
07-21 15:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.119$3.54
07-21 15:51Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.07$0.49
07-21 11:47Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.25$1.75
07-20 18:37Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.73$7.29
07-20 17:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.074$1.61