PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

missyouscarlett

0x10e807edcfbf2fec794c9e5703c7b32d5ef719fc

Realised P&L
$-30.99
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$8.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.7170.705$3.44$0.06
Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.5000.580$2.90+$0.40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4000.445$1.11+$0.11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0800.075$0.96$0.06
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2500.089$0.36$0.65
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.2900.000$0.00$9.44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$1.01
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? · No0.7100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 10? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 10? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 22? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.01
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$5.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$9.69
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees0.4800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:53Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.7199999654$2.50
08-03 17:50Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.7099994391$1.00
08-02 07:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$1.00
07-31 20:070 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.998$10.96
07-30 03:05Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.08$1.02
07-29 19:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-29 06:38Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.6099999214$2.87
07-27 17:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 27?SELL0.16$0.84
07-26 07:39Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 27?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-26 07:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 27?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
07-25 00:01Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5BUY0.7099998817$1.50
07-25 00:01Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.999$1.55
07-23 08:400 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.9469999964$10.40
07-22 19:45Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-22 19:21Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?SELL0.6655342137$11.09