missyouscarlett
0x10e807edcfbf2fec794c9e5703c7b32d5ef719fc
- Realised P&L
- $-30.99
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $8.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.14at 0.470Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
- +$10.01at 0.520Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$5.11at 0.584Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.76at 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$3.66at 0.532Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:53 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 17:50 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 07:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:07 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.96 |
| 07-30 03:05 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.02 |
| 07-29 19:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 06:38 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.6099999214 | $2.87 |
| 07-27 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 27? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.84 |
| 07-26 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 27? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 27? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 00:01 | Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7099998817 | $1.50 |
| 07-25 00:01 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.55 |
| 07-23 08:40 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.9469999964 | $10.40 |
| 07-22 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22? | SELL | 0.6655342137 | $11.09 |