catmaxi
0x10d5defe8d9689e2dc90246ea8cb6018d8a933fd
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $289.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,028
- Open portfolio
- $175.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,028
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.038Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?
- +$197.88at 0.102Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
- +$159.98at 0.343Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?
- +$158.56at 0.934Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?
- +$144.65at 0.308Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 08-07 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.83 | $82.24 |
| 08-07 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-07 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.82 | $36.06 |
| 08-07 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.678 | $27.12 |
| 08-07 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.53 |
| 08-07 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 08-07 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.256 | $5.12 |
| 08-07 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2490266667 | $7.47 |
| 08-06 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 08-06 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 08-06 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $13.80 |
| 08-06 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-05 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.68 | $16.08 |
| 08-02 10:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |