donateck
0x10afe17003a88509861b2ccfeb7f67bc2951de20
- Realised P&L
- $-433.32
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $374.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by August 22? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.024 | $160.01 | −$39.98 |
| Iran leadership change by August 15? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.012 | $112.07 | −$182.92 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.080 | 0.070 | $102.38 | −$14.63 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.85at 0.150Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 16:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $117.00 |
| 08-09 07:52 | Iran leadership change by August 22? | BUY | 0.0299974334 | $200.00 |
| 08-09 01:15 | Iran leadership change by August 15? | BUY | 0.0304824339 | $200.00 |
| 08-07 16:41 | Iran leadership change by August 15? | BUY | 0.0341952542 | $95.00 |
| 08-05 16:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $93.60 |
| 07-22 04:48 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0367758904 | $99.00 |
| 07-21 04:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $87.75 |
| 07-16 21:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0900862026 | $100.00 |