CentralCasting
0x0feb1bf966bc7f954c2da0293ae2fdc572c5db5d
- Realised P&L
- $330.2k
- Volume
- $3.86M
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $12.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.5kat 0.742Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$173.1kat 0.752Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$10.2kat 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$7.5kat 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$6.6kat 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.1k |
| 08-05 13:59 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 08-02 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2044682 | $155.22 |
| 08-02 00:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3366301557 | $142.91 |
| 08-02 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3114366596 | $202.43 |
| 08-02 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2777070807 | $214.30 |
| 08-02 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2687462351 | $81.20 |
| 08-02 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2287367206 | $144.69 |
| 08-02 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3139549438 | $286.95 |
| 08-02 00:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3732701665 | $123.50 |
| 08-02 00:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3788077181 | $152.35 |
| 08-02 00:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3641944442 | $365.91 |
| 08-02 00:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4916373765 | $319.48 |
| 08-02 00:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.565140599 | $105.11 |
| 08-02 00:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5486045842 | $609.38 |