0x0fb10b44ff9139DCAc75489f143E558CAb2F6ac0-1774270352872
0x0fb10b44ff9139dcac75489f143e558cab2f6ac0
- Realised P&L
- $-306.86
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $240.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $102.50 | +$2.50 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.150 | 0.225 | $75.00 | +$25.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $39.29 | −$10.71 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.021 | $23.97 | −$6.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$269.39 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up | 0.423 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.93at 0.254Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$188.77at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$144.41at 0.402Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$111.71at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$83.94at 0.534Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:17 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.026 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 09:22 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 09:16 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 08:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.55 |
| 08-02 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4524869007 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 08:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 08:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 03-23 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5003640561 | $265.12 |
| 03-23 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4234233865 | $97.02 |
| 03-23 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $98.24 |
| 03-23 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6124061627 | $194.37 |
| 03-23 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $98.43 |
| 03-23 14:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $97.97 |
| 03-23 14:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2096436059 | $98.63 |
| 03-23 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2652142081 | $98.10 |