PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0fb10b44ff9139DCAc75489f143E558CAb2F6ac0-1774270352872

0x0fb10b44ff9139dcac75489f143e558cab2f6ac0

Realised P&L
$-306.86
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$240.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.205$102.50+$2.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.1500.225$75.00+$25.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0700.055$39.29$10.71
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0260.021$23.97$6.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$269.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.4230.000$0.00$98.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:17Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.026$20.00
08-02 09:22Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.0699999987$50.00
08-02 09:16Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.025$10.00
08-02 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSELL0.01$0.55
08-02 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.4524869007$25.00
08-02 08:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$100.00
08-02 08:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
03-23 15:20Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.5003640561$265.12
03-23 14:42Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.4234233865$97.02
03-23 14:36Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.25$98.24
03-23 14:30Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.6124061627$194.37
03-23 14:16Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.7699999998$98.43
03-23 14:16Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.7199999986$97.97
03-23 14:12Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.2096436059$98.63
03-23 14:11Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.2652142081$98.10